Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000196 0.000218 0.000242 0.000269 0.000300 0.000334 0.000374
2025-02-23 0.000154 0.000185 0.000222 0.000268 0.000326 0.000395 0.000485
2025-03-02 0.000130 0.000165 0.000209 0.000269 0.000349 0.000453 0.000599
2025-03-09 0.000112 0.000150 0.000198 0.000268 0.000367 0.000503 0.000708
2025-03-16 0.000096 0.000132 0.000182 0.000257 0.000367 0.000527 0.000783
2025-03-23 0.000087 0.000124 0.000177 0.000258 0.000385 0.000577 0.000902
2025-03-30 0.000082 0.000120 0.000176 0.000268 0.000415 0.000649 0.001065
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000111 0.000167 0.000262 0.000419 0.000681 0.001166
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000100 0.000155 0.000248 0.000410 0.000687 0.001222
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000096 0.000151 0.000249 0.000424 0.000736 0.001364
2025-04-27 0.000058 0.000093 0.000151 0.000255 0.000448 0.000804 0.001552
2025-05-04 0.000054 0.000088 0.000146 0.000253 0.000456 0.000843 0.001689
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000085 0.000144 0.000256 0.000475 0.000910 0.001900
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000081 0.000139 0.000254 0.000485 0.000960 0.002086
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000077 0.000136 0.000255 0.000501 0.001023 0.002318
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000074 0.000132 0.000254 0.000513 0.001080 0.002544
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.000068 0.000124 0.000243 0.000502 0.001086 0.002645
2025-06-15 0.000036 0.000066 0.000122 0.000244 0.000518 0.001156 0.002925
2025-06-22 0.000035 0.000065 0.000124 0.000253 0.000552 0.001273 0.003362
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000062 0.000119 0.000247 0.000552 0.001306 0.003568
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000057 0.000111 0.000235 0.000534 0.001290 0.003627
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000055 0.000110 0.000236 0.000549 0.001364 0.003978
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000055 0.000110 0.000241 0.000576 0.001475 0.004476